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Nonparametric estimation of the division rate of a size-structured population

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If you have a question about this talk, please contact Richard Samworth.

We consider the problem of estimating the division rate of a size-structured population in a nonparametric setting. The size of the system evolves according to a transport-fragmentation equation: each individual grows with a given transport rate, and splits into two offsprings of the same size, following a binary fragmentation process with unknown division rate that depends on its size. In contrast to a deterministic inverse problem approach, we take in this paper the perspective of statistical inference: our data consists in a large sample of the size of individuals, when the evolution of the system is close to its time-asymptotic behavior, so that it can be related to the eigenproblem of the considered transport-fragmentation equation. By estimating statistically each term of the eigenvalue problem and by suitably inverting a certain linear operator, we are able to construct a more realistic estimator of the division rate that achieves the same optimal error bound as in related deterministic inverse problems. Our procedure relies on kernel methods with automatic bandwidth selection.

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