The problem of false positives, some lessons from the bullet lead story, and the new U.S. Department of Justice guidance for expert testimony

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• Michael Finkelstein (Columbia University)
• Tuesday 30 August 2016, 11:30-12:00
• Seminar Room 1, Newton Institute.

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FOSW01 - The nature of questions arising in court that can be addressed via probability and statistical methods

False positive probability is a key element in a statistical evaluation of forensic evidence.  The Committee on Scientific Assessment of Bullet Lead Elemental Composition Comparison of the U.S. National Research Council struggled with the problem of its estimation and its conclusion is instructive.  It is an interesting fact that the recently issued guidance for expert testimony proposed by the U.S. Department of Justice points in a similar direction.  

This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.

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