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Fundamental Fallacies of Finance

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If you have a question about this talk, please contact Peter Watson.

The Concise Oxford Dictionary defines a fallacy as “A mistaken belief esp. based on unsound argument”, and the history and current practice of the finance industry provides egregious examples. This talk will fearlessly expose some of these, beat up the unsound arguments, and, unexpectedly, offer some practical suggestions on how to avoid such errors. These suggestions are unlikely ever to be adopted, for reasons that will also be explained.

This talk is part of the Cambridge Statistics Discussion Group (CSDG) series.

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