Bank Networks: Contagion, Systemic Risk and Prudential Policy

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• Faia, E (Goethe-Universitt Frankfurt)
• Monday 15 December 2014, 16:00-16:45
• Seminar Room 1, Newton Institute.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Mustapha Amrani.

Systemic Risk: Mathematical Modelling and Interdisciplinary Approaches

Co-authors: Inaki Aldasoro (Goethe University Frankfurt), Domenico Delli Gatti (Catholic University Milan)

We present a network model of the interbank market in which optimizing risk averse banks lend to each other and invest in non-liquid assets. Clearing takes place through a price ttonnement mechanism, while traded quantities ate obtained through three alternative matching algorithms: Maximum Entropy, Closest matching and Random matching. Contagion occurs through liquidity hoarding, interbank interconnections and fire sale externalities. The resulting network configurations exhibits core-periphery structure, dis-assortative behavior and low clustering coefficient. We measure systemic importance with network centrality and input-output metrics and systemic risk with Shapley values. Given the realm of our network we analyze the effects of prudential policies on the stability/efficiency trade-off. Liquidity requirements unequivocally decrease systemic risk but at the cost of lower efficiency (measured by aggregate investment in non-liquid assets); equity requirements tend to reduce risk (hence increase stability) without reducing significantly overall investment.

This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.

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