High-Resolution PM2.5 Mapping Across Malaysia Using Multi-Satellite Data and Machine Learning Techniques

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• Kasturi Kanniah, Centre for Environmental Sustainability and Water Security (IPASA), Faculty of Built Environment and Surveying, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
• Tuesday 04 March 2025, 11:00-12:00
• Chemistry Dept, Unilever Lecture Theatre and Zoom.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Dr Megan Brown.

Air pollution assessment in urban and rural areas is really challenging due to high spatio-temporal variability of aerosols and pollutants and the uncertainties in measurements and modelling estimates. Nevertheless, accurate determination of the pollution sources and distribution of PM2 .5 concentrations is especially important for source apportionment and mitigation strategies. This study provides estimates of PM2 .5 concentrations across Malaysia in high spatial resolution, based on multi-satellite data and machine learning (ML) models, namely Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR) and extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), also covering remote areas without measurement networks. The study aims to develop ML models that are simpler than previous works and demonstrate computational efficiency. Six sub-models were developed to represent different locations and seasons in Malaysia. Model 1 includes all data from 65 air-quality stations, Models 2 and 3 characterize urban/industrial and suburban sites, respectively, while Models 4 to 6 correspond to dry, wet, and inter-monsoon seasons, respectively. The RF technique exhibited slightly better performance compared to the XGBoost and SVR approaches. More specifically, for model 1, it exhibited a high correlation with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.64 and RMSE of 12.17 μg m−3, while similar results were obtained for models 3, model 4 and model 5. The lower performance (R2 = 0.16-0.94) observed in the wet and inter-monsoon seasons is due to fewer numbers of data used in model calibration. Integration of two Aerosol Optical Depth products from the Advanced Himawari Imager and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) sensors together with gases pollutants from Sentinel 5P enabled seamless seasonal PM2 .5 mapping over Malaysia, even for a short period of time. However, usage of data with insufficient information during the model training procedure, and lack of satellite data due to cloud contamination, can limit the PM2 .5 prediction accuracy.

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