El Niño 2015/16: the kid is back

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• Eric Guilyardi, University of Reading
• Monday 08 February 2016, 14:15-15:15
• Unilever Lecture Theatre, Department of Chemistry.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Peer Nowack pjn35.

The current El Niño event is one of the largest since 50 years. The last extreme event in 1997/98 caused severe worldwide weather impacts on both the environment and societies. The unfolding 2015/16 event is described in the context of these other large events and a review of progress in ENSO understanding and forecast since the 1997/98 event is proposed. If ENSO prediction skill has not improved beyond the Spring predictability barrier, we now have a better physical understanding of why this may be. We also review how state-of-the-art models simulate ENSO and the links with climate change.

This talk is part of the Centre for Atmospheric Science seminars, Chemistry Dept. series.

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