Changing Climate, Changing Corals: Predicting Long-Term Climatological Suitability for Tropical Reefs

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• Orlando Timmerman, University of Cambridge
• Thursday 03 July 2025, 13:00-14:00
• Room GS15 at the William Gates Building and on Zoom: https://cl-cam-ac-uk.zoom.us/j/4361570789?pwd=Nkl2T3ZLaTZwRm05bzRTOUUxY3Q4QT09&from=addon .

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Abstract

Coral reefs are experiencing increasing stress as climate change warms and acidifies the oceans. This is causing mortality events in the least-suitable places, while areas at higher latitudes may become suitable for future growth of reefs and the biodiversity and ecosystem services they provide. Present-day conservation measures currently do not account for this biogeographical shift. This project looks for suitability signals in long-term historic and forecast climatological data in an effort to contextualise future conservations efforts. In the meantime, a number of side-quests will be explored, ranging from a quantitative meta-analysis of species’ responses to climatological shifts to a foray into remote sensing of shallow water habitats. This talk is an informal update of my thought processes so far, an invited sanity-check from anyone kind enough to provide it, and a search for future directions of exploration. Questions, criticisms, and suggestions highly desired!

Bio

Orlando is a second-year PhD student with the AI4ER CDT . Supervised by Oscar Branson (Earth Sciences), he is interested in the opportunities and limitations for modelling marine ecosystems – particularly coral reefs – posed by the data available today.

This talk is part of the Energy and Environment Group, Department of CST series.

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• Room GS15 at the William Gates Building and on Zoom: https://cl-cam-ac-uk.zoom.us/j/4361570789?pwd=Nkl2T3ZLaTZwRm05bzRTOUUxY3Q4QT09&from=addon
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