Global estimates of transmission intensity and short-term forecasts during the COVID-19 pandemic: Challenges, impacts and implications for the future

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• Sebastian Funk (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)
• Monday 05 August 2024, 16:20-16:40
• Seminar Room 1, Newton Institute.

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MIPW01 - Modelling and inference for pandemic preparedness - a focussed workshop

In this talk I will reflect on global estimates of transmission intensity and short-term forecasts during the COVID -19 pandemic that we created and put on a daily updated public dashboard. I will present challenges we encountered in creating and maintaining this resource, as well as impacts that it had on our and others’ work as well as policy. I will use this to discuss implications for ongoing and future efforts to improve modelling in response to outbreaks and pandemics. Reference:Abbott & Funk, 2022, Reflections on two years estimating effective reproduction numbers, https://doi.org/10.59350/8apn9-8h048

This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.

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