PCF-GAN and beyond: High-Fidelity Generative Models for Synthetic Time Series Generation

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• Hao Ni (University College London)
• Wednesday 04 September 2024, 13:30-14:15
• Seminar Room 1, Newton Institute.

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SSDW05 - Modelling and Applications of Anomalous Diffusions

Generating high-fidelity time series data using generative adversarial networks (GANs) remains a challenging task, as it is difficult to capture the temporal dependence of joint probability distributions induced by time-series data. To this end, a key step is the development of an effective discriminator to distinguish between time series distributions. In this talk, I will introduce the so-called PCF-GAN, a novel GAN that incorporates the path characteristic function (PCF) as the principled representation of time series distribution into the discriminator to enhance its generative performance.  On the one hand, we establish theoretical foundations of the PCF distance by proving its characteristicity, boundedness, differentiability with respect to generator parameters, and weak continuity, which ensure the stability and feasibility of training the PCF-GAN. On the other hand, we design efficient initialisation and optimisation schemes for PCFs to strengthen the discriminative power and accelerate training efficiency. To further boost the capabilities of complex time series generation, we integrate the auto-encoder structure via sequential embedding into the PCF-GAN, which provides additional reconstruction functionality. Extensive numerical experiments on various datasets demonstrate the consistently superior performance of PCF-GAN over state-of-the-art baselines, in both generation and reconstruction quality. Lastly, an application of PCF-GAN to Levy area generation is presented, which shows its potential to accelerate the high-order SDE simulation. This talk is based on two papers: [https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.12511.pdf] (joint work with Siran Li (Shanghai Jiao Tong University) and Hang Lou (UCL) ) and [https://arxiv.org/pdf/2308.02452.pdf] (Joint work with Andraž Jelinčič (Oxford), Jiajie Tao (UCL), William F Turner (Imperial College), Thomas Cass (Imperial College), James Foster (Oxford)).

This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.

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