Detection and Attribution of changes in European Temperature and Precipitation

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• Prof. Simon Tett, School of Geosciences, The University of Edinburgh
• Tuesday 02 February 2010, 14:15-15:15
• U202, Department of Chemistry.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Dr Francis Pope.

Note unusual time

Recent heat waves and flooding events have generated popular views that European climate is changing due to human influences. Attributing cause in a chaotic climate system can be difficult. In my talk I will discuss how climate change can be attributed to different causes. I will then apply this approach to changes in warm and cold season temperature and precipitation for two European regions. This work finds that combined human and natural influences are robustly detectable in temperature and in Northern European cold season precipitation changes. Natural only influences on European climate are not robustly detected. This work also suggests that changes in winter precipitation are under estimated in current climate models.

This talk is part of the Centre for Atmospheric Science seminars, Chemistry Dept. series.

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