Distance metrics in modelling the spatial spread of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the US

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• Maria Tang & Stephen Kissler, DAMTP
• Friday 25 November 2016, 16:00-17:00
• Meeting room 15, Centre for Mathematical Sciences.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Prof. Julia Gog.

Mechanistic models for the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States have so far integrated only geographic great-circle distances between locations to model the spatial dynamics. However, it makes sense to consider different distance metrics that represent actual human movement better, such as distances and times for driving, walking and public transport. Statistical analysis and model selection techniques are used with high-resolution disease onset data to evaluate the relevance of these metrics, and when they should be considered in general.

This talk is part of the Worms and Bugs series.

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