Covid-19: a phased lift of control and other exit strategies - Speakers - Luc Coffeng and Sake de Vlas - (Explicit content)

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• Monday 02 November 2020, 13:00-13:45
• Seminar Room 1, Newton Institute.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact info@newton.ac.uk.

IDP - Infectious Dynamics of Pandemics: Mathematical and statistical challenges in understanding the dynamics of infectious disease pandemics

In The Netherlands, the first wave of SARS -Cov-2 was controlled by what politicians like to call an “intelligent lockdown”, whereas the current wave is being addressed by a “semi-lockdown”. In this seminar, we’ll highlight and dissect the main components of the Dutch control strategy and will explore and compare the potential impact of some of these components using an individual-based model of COVID -19 transmission that included geographical stratification, individual heterogeneity in exposure and contribution transmission, and assortative mixing. In addition, we’ll explore the expected course and outcome of several controversial hypothetical strategies aimed at generating herd immunity though natural infection by a controlled release of the epidemic. Last, we’ll draw some parallels between said controversial strategies and what is currently happening in practice in The Netherlands.

This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.

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