Pinpointing sources of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States using a gravity model

Add to your list(s) Download to your calendar using vCal

• Stephen Kissler (University of Cambridge)
• Thursday 15 October 2015, 12:00-13:30
• MR12, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Wilberforce Road, Cambridge.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Stephen Kissler.

The 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in the United States featured striking, and surprising, transmission patterns. The main epidemic wave emanated not from a major city, but from the less populous south-eastern part of the country, and moved slowly northward, resulting in a much longer outbreak than normal. To describe these dynamics, we have developed a disease transmission model based on the gravity model for human mobility. We identify key drivers of the epidemic, locate likely sources, and map the regions in which infection can be traced with high probability back to one, two, or three or more of these sources.

This talk is part of the Worms and Bugs series.

This talk is included in these lists:

• All CMS events
• All Talks (aka the CURE list)
• Cambridge Immunology
• Cambridge Infectious Diseases
• MR12, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Wilberforce Road, Cambridge
• Worms and Bugs
• bld31

Note that ex-directory lists are not shown.