Predictive models in ecology: case studies of invasive fire ants and fire risks

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• Yohay Carmel, Technion Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Israel
• Friday 24 February 2012, 13:00-14:00
• Part II Lecture Theatre, Department of Zoology , Downing Street, CB2 3EJ.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Veronica Zamora-Gutierrez.

Ecologists and environmental scientists are increasingly asked to provide specific predictions for the future. The major predictive tool available to scientists is the model. This talk will discuss the nature of models as tools for prediction, emphasizing various problems, restrictions and limitations. Some of these obstacles will be illustrated using two studies in which I was involved recently. The first study concerned predicting the probability of invasion by fire ants at a global scale, while the second study predicted fire risk at a very local scale

This talk is part of the Ecology Lunchtime Series series.

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