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Inference on compartmental models: COVID-19 modelling at Sussex

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  • UserEduard Campillo-Funollet, Lancaster
  • ClockWednesday 08 February 2023, 12:00-13:00
  • HouseZoom.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Paula Smith.

During the COVID -19 pandemic, we developed an epidemiological model for the Sussex area to assist the local authorities on demand and capacity planning for hospitals and mortuaries. The model exhibited a good predictive power, and it is based on re-formulating traditional compartmental models in terms of the observable data to obtain robust inference schemes. In this talk, I will illustrate the approach using the basic SIR model as an example, and I will discuss how we applied this approach at Sussex.

This talk is part of the Worms and Bugs series.

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