Do you know how much you know?

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• David Spiegelhalter (Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge)
• Friday 23 November 2012, 19:00-20:00
• MR2, Centre for Mathematical Sciences.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Yuhan Gao.

(Free for members, £2 for non-members)

Your uncertainty can be quantified as a probability, but how can we tell whose probabilities are best? We will look at some theory of scoring rules for probabilistic predictions, and their applications in weather forecasting and other areas. And then we will measure your knowledge about your ignorance.

This talk is part of the The Archimedeans (CU Mathematical Society) series.

This talk is included in these lists:

• Guy Emerson's list
• MR2, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
• The Archimedeans (CU Mathematical Society)
• bld31
• ob366-ai4er

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