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Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic in England using a metapopulation approach

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  • UserDr Christopher Davis (University of Warwick)
  • ClockWednesday 19 January 2022, 16:00-17:00
  • HouseZoom.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Dr Ciara Dangerfield.

The non-uniform spread of COVID -19 cases and vaccinations across the UK necessitates a consideration for spatial factors in modelling the pandemic. We use a stochastic metapopulation model for the Lower Tier Local Authorities (LTLAs) of England to assess the impact of spatial heterogeneity in infections and the spread of variants. We aim to apply this model to several questions such as how vaccinations should be distributed amongst LTL As. In the context of the delta variant, we demonstrate conditions when it may be beneficial to reallocate vaccines to areas affected by high prevalence, or experiencing a surge in cases of the new variant.

This talk is part of the Worms and Bugs series.

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