Inferring causation from time series with perspectives in Earth system sciences

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• Jakob Runge | Institute of Data Science, German Aerospace Center (DLR) - Climate Informatics Group
• Tuesday 17 November 2020, 11:00-12:30
• https://us02web.zoom.us/j/89975312802?pwd=dkpvc0M3RGhtY1JOUm5Hc1dCNm9IZz09.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Tudor Suciu.

The heart of the scientific enterprise is a rational effort to understand the causes behind the phenomena we observe. In disciplines dealing with complex dynamical systems, such as the Earth system, replicated real experiments are rarely feasible. However, a rapidly increasing amount of observational and simulated data opens up the use of novel data-driven causal inference methods beyond the commonly adopted correlation techniques. In this talk I will present a Perspective Paper in Nature Communications giving an overview of causal inference methods and identify key tasks and major challenges where causal methods have the potential to advance the state-of-the-art in Earth system sciences.

(Runge, J., S. Bathiany, E. Bollt, G. Camps-Valls, D. Coumou, E. Deyle, C. Glymour, M. Kretschmer, M. D. Mahecha, J. Muñoz-Marı́, E. H. van Nes, J. Peters, R. Quax, M. Reichstein, M. Scheffer, B. Schölkopf, P. Spirtes, G. Sugihara, J. Sun, K. Zhang, and J. Zscheischler (2019). Inferring causation from time series in earth system sciences. Nature Communications 10 (1), 2553.)

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Meeting ID: 899 7531 2802

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This talk is part of the AI4ER Seminar Series series.

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