University of Cambridge > Talks.cam > Cambridge University Linguistic Society (LingSoc) > The language of higher-order uncertainty

The language of higher-order uncertainty

Add to your list(s) Download to your calendar using vCal

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Jamie Douglas.

Epistemic modals have long been thought to display severe restrictions in their embedding potential. In addition, when they do embed it is often thought that the outer modal is vacuous – so that “It must be possible that it’s raining” just means “It’s possible that it’s raining”. Recently Moss (2015) has observed that, in certain carefully elaborated contexts, constructions with multiple epistemics like “It must be probable that …” are intuitively acceptable and seem to express higher-order uncertainty. I’ll present some recent work examining the range and interpretation of such constructions in corpora, and use the result to motivate a new probabilistic semantics that improves on both the classical interpretation from modal logic and Moss’ proposal. This approach has interesting points of connection with the use of causal models in psychology and with the question of how people represent (higher-order) uncertainty, which I’ll discuss briefly in conclusion.

This talk is part of the Cambridge University Linguistic Society (LingSoc) series.

Tell a friend about this talk:

This talk is included in these lists:

Note that ex-directory lists are not shown.

 

© 2006-2021 Talks.cam, University of Cambridge. Contact Us | Help and Documentation | Privacy and Publicity