|COOKIES: By using this website you agree that we can place Google Analytics Cookies on your device for performance monitoring.|
Chance, Probability and Rankings: the Truth About League Tables
This lecture is fully booked. If you'd like to receive early notice of future lectures, please visit http://mmp.maths.org/events/eventlist.php to join our e-mail list. This is a low-volume e-mail list; usually only 1-2 e-mails are sent per term.
Sports teams, schools, hospitals, universities, films, online gamers: they all get ranked into league tables. But do these rankings mean anything? Does being top of the league really equate to being the best? This lecture considers how the play of chance can influence rankings, and how we can use the theory of probability (and some computing power) to see whether the cup-winning team was just lucky. In passing, we shall explain the curse of ‘Hello’ magazine, as well as why tall people tend to have shorter children. Using local data on MRSA rates in hospitals, SAT scores in primary schools, teenage pregnancy in local authorities and so on, we will see why league tables are often not to be trusted.
Audience: General public, ages 16+
About the speaker: David Spiegelhalter has made extensive contributions to theoretical and practical aspects of statistical methodology for complex problems, especially in the health sciences. In addition to the Winton Professorship, David is a Senior Scientist in the Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit, located at the University of Cambridge’s Institute of Public Health.
Admission to all our lectures is free but by ticket only: please email Heather Benucci using the ‘mmptalks’ link above; state clearly the date and title of the lecture you would like to attend and how many tickets you require, and we will confirm your ticket allocation by email.
This talk is part of the Millennium Mathematics Project series.
This talk is included in these lists:
Note that ex-directory lists are not shown.
Other listsmiddle east studies Kazakhstan Programme Research Seminar Series Justice and Communities Research Unit, Anglia Ruskin University
Other talksFrom Asymmetric stem cell division to tissue engineering. Did a Frenchman translate the King James Bible? The Pardoner's Passing and How it Matters: Gender, Relics and Speech Acts Drainage and water supply in 18th century London Health Economics @ Cambridge seminar: Title TBC Professor Caroline Hill - Title tbc