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New Insights from the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)

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If you have a question about this talk, please contact Adriano Gualandi.

As seismology enters the era of statistical aftershock forecasting and continuous real-time seismic hazard estimation, the community needs independent model evaluation methodology to provide the best available science and to understand its current limitations. CSEP is a global community with a mission to improve earthquake forecasting by comparative model testing in a truly prospective manner (i.e., against data not yet available during model development). In this talk, I will provide an overview of new insights into earthquake predictability gained by CSEP experiments around the globe and over nearly two decades. I will illustrate how these insights are informing national seismic hazard models and real-time forecasting.

This talk is part of the Bullard Laboratories Wednesday Seminars series.

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