University of Cambridge > > Cambridge Energy Seminars > Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition

Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition

Add to your list(s) Download to your calendar using vCal

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Speaker to be confirmed.

The Energy IRC invites you to join us, where Dr Rupert Way (Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment. Oxford Martin School) will present how compared to continuing with a fossil fuel-based system, a rapid green energy transition will likely result in net savings of many trillions of dollars, even without accounting for climate damages or co-benefits of climate policy.

ABSTRACT Rapidly decarbonising the global energy system is critical for addressing climate change, but concerns about costs have been a barrier to implementation. Historically, most energy-economy models have overestimated the future costs of key renewable energy technologies and underestimated their deployment, thereby overestimating total energy transition costs.

These issues have driven calls for alternative approaches and more reliable technology forecasting methods. We use an approach based on probabilistic cost forecasting methods that have been statistically validated by backtesting on more than 50 technologies to estimate future energy system costs in a variety of scenarios.

Register at

This talk is part of the Cambridge Energy Seminars series.

Tell a friend about this talk:

This talk is included in these lists:

Note that ex-directory lists are not shown.


© 2006-2024, University of Cambridge. Contact Us | Help and Documentation | Privacy and Publicity