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Neural ratio estimation: the future of supernova cosmology?

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Simulation-based inference (SBI) has the potential to revolutionise how we do supernova cosmology and let us incorporate arbitrarily complex effects within a Bayesian model. I will present recent work which sought to validate neural ratio estimation (NRE) by comparing NRE -derived posteriors on supernova properties to those obtained with a likelihood-based MCMC approach for the same data, and then discuss how NRE and SBI in general provide a pathway towards a model extending all the way from type Ia supernova light curves to cosmological parameters as part of a single analysis.

This talk is part of the Astro Data Science Discussion Group series.

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