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Struggling judges: do they need a probability help desk? A daily legal practice point of view

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FOSW01 - The nature of questions arising in court that can be addressed via probability and statistical methods

Would all judicial decisions benefit from using probability and statistics? Judges do not seem to think so. In daily practice most cases are just not very complex. However, case-law demonstrates that judges recurrently struggle with questions and concepts of fact-finding even in the not too complex cases. What are these questions, which mistakes are made and how could reasoning with probabilities help?      

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