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2°C Roadmap based on Financial Analysis

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If you have a question about this talk, please contact Dr Per Ola Kristensson.

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Carbon Tracker’s work has focused on mapping out the financial risks associated with fossil fuel investments. So – in keeping with the “numbers-based” theme, we have conducted detailed analyses of all the world’s major oil, coal and gas projects.

Two numbers, in particular, stand out – the 2C carbon budget and the break-even price for individual projects. Linking the two gives investors a roadmap to move away from high-cost, high-carbon projects which could become stranded assets. To put another number on this: over $2 trillion of planned investments to 2025 are at risk from a combination of falling demand, increased regulation and competitive alternatives.

Another important thread in our research moves from risk to opportunities – we have shown that the world’s oil majors would be worth more if they aligned their production with climate targets – up to $140 billion more, to be precise.

More information on carbon bubble risk: http://www.carbontracker.org/report/fossil-fuels-stress-test-paris-agreement-managed-decline/

More information on opportunities for achieving carbon targets: http://www.carbontracker.org/report/fossil-fuels-stress-test-paris-agreement-managed-decline/

This talk is part of the Cambridge Climate Lecture Series series.

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