Inferring the spatial dynamics of dengue in southeast Asia

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• Henrik Salje, Johns Hopkins
• Tuesday 19 November 2013, 12:00-13:00
• S8, Second Floor The Austin Building .

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Anna Davies.

To enter, please use the south entrance to the Austin Building. There will be a person on the 2nd floor in the stairwell to let you into the card restricted area. Call 01223 330933 if you arrive late.

Dengue remains a substantial public health burden in Southeast Asia with most individuals experiencing at least two infections by the time they reach adulthood. However, the movement patterns of the virus remain poorly understood hindering targeted interventions. We used the geocoded locations of hospitalized dengue cases in Bangkok (Thailand) and Cebu (Philippines) to explore the small scale dispersal of the virus in these urban settings. We inferred the transmission kernel that was most consistent with the observed spatio-temporal pattern of cases and used our findings to inform individual-based models to explore the potential impact of spatially targeted interventions, including the use of insecticide spraying.

This talk is part of the Cambridge Infectious Diseases series.

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• Cambridge Infectious Diseases
• S8, Second Floor The Austin Building

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