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Stories and new methods of risk analysis: Lessons from a Cambridge Disaster Research Network - Infrastructure Resilience Group workshop

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On the 22nd March this year, we held a joint workshop between the Cambridge Disaster Research Network (CDRN) and the Infrastructure Resilience Group (IRG) online. This workshop experimented with a newly developed method in risk studies / horizon scanning called downward counterfactual analysis. In simple terms the workshop took a historical disaster event (the 365CE Cretan earthquake and tsunami) and asked five groups of interdisciplinary researchers, using three definitions of ‘worse’ to build worst-case scenarios. Twenty-two members of CDRN and IRG participated in the exercise. This special CDRN seminar summarizes some of the results of the exercise, some of the lessons learnt and discusses their implications.

This talk is part of the Cambridge Disaster Research Network series.

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