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CATEGORIES:MRC Biostatistics Unit Seminars
SUMMARY:Online inference and prediction for infectious dis
 eases: a case study in Avian Influenza - Gareth Ro
 berts\, University of Warwick
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20071016T143000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20071016T153000
UID:TALK7988AThttp://talks.cam.ac.uk
URL:http://talks.cam.ac.uk/talk/index/7988
DESCRIPTION:Modelling spread of veterinary infectious diseases
  at the farm level has many advantages in terms of
  trying to understand prevalent modes of transmiss
 ion\, and the construction of appropriate control 
 strategies. However for large numbers of farms\, l
 ikelihood-based inference is methodologically chal
 lenging\, particularly on-line inference as the ep
 idemic  progresses. This talk will describe a Baye
 sian approach to inference and prediction\, focusi
 ng on Avian Infuenza in the poultry industry and F
 oot and Mouth Disease.
LOCATION:Large Seminar Room\, 1st Floor\, Institute of Publ
 ic Health\, University Forvie Site\, Robinson Way\
 , Cambridge
CONTACT:Nikolaos Demiris
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