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SUMMARY:Online inference and prediction for infectious diseases: a case st
 udy in Avian Influenza - Gareth Roberts\, University of Warwick
DTSTART:20071016T133000Z
DTEND:20071016T143000Z
UID:TALK7988@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Nikolaos Demiris
DESCRIPTION:Modelling spread of veterinary infectious diseases at the farm
  level has many advantages in terms of trying to understand prevalent mode
 s of transmission\, and the construction of appropriate control strategies
 . However for large numbers of farms\, likelihood-based inference is metho
 dologically challenging\, particularly on-line inference as the epidemic  
 progresses. This talk will describe a Bayesian approach to inference and p
 rediction\, focusing on Avian Infuenza in the poultry industry and Foot an
 d Mouth Disease.
LOCATION:Large Seminar Room\, 1st Floor\, Institute of Public Health\, Uni
 versity Forvie Site\, Robinson Way\, Cambridge
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