BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//talks.cam.ac.uk//v3//EN
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Europe/London
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
TZNAME:BST
DTSTART:19700329T010000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=3;BYDAY=-1SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
TZNAME:GMT
DTSTART:19701025T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=-1SU
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
CATEGORIES:CamPoS (Cambridge Philosophy of Science) seminar
SUMMARY:Belief and statistical evidence - Arif Ahmed (Facu
 lty of Philosophy)
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20161019T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20161019T143000
UID:TALK68132AThttp://talks.cam.ac.uk
URL:http://talks.cam.ac.uk/talk/index/68132
DESCRIPTION:Hume's argument concerning miracles and the well-k
 nown gate-crasher \nparadox are both cases where p
 eople seem reluctant to believe something\, \nor c
 ourts seem reluctant to convict someone\, despite 
 extremely strong \nstatistical evidence that the t
 hing is true or that the person is \nguilty. I pro
 pose to account for this in terms of some simple i
 deas from \nSignal Detection Theory. The upshot is
  that Hume is still right\, but the \ncourts may s
 ometimes be wrong.
LOCATION:Seminar Room 2\, Department of History and Philoso
 phy of Science
CONTACT:
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR