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SUMMARY:Belief and statistical evidence - Arif Ahmed (Faculty of Philosoph
 y)
DTSTART:20161019T120000Z
DTEND:20161019T133000Z
UID:TALK68132@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:31287
DESCRIPTION:Hume's argument concerning miracles and the well-known gate-cr
 asher \nparadox are both cases where people seem reluctant to believe some
 thing\, \nor courts seem reluctant to convict someone\, despite extremely 
 strong \nstatistical evidence that the thing is true or that the person is
  \nguilty. I propose to account for this in terms of some simple ideas fro
 m \nSignal Detection Theory. The upshot is that Hume is still right\, but 
 the \ncourts may sometimes be wrong.
LOCATION:Seminar Room 2\, Department of History and Philosophy of Science
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