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SUMMARY:Causation in Law and Statistics - Simon Deakin (University of Camb
 ridge)
DTSTART:20260126T110000Z
DTEND:20260126T120000Z
UID:TALK241561@talks.cam.ac.uk
DESCRIPTION:My talk will examine the different approaches of law and stati
 stics to the question of causation.&nbsp\; I will argue that while statist
 ical method tends to see causation in terms which are &lsquo\;predictive&r
 squo\; and &lsquo\;generic&rsquo\; (meaning that it identifies correlation
 s between variables at the level of a population or sample\, for purposes 
 which include forecasting future effects)\, legal method tends to see caus
 ation as &lsquo\;postdictive&rsquo\; and &lsquo\;individual&rsquo\; (meani
 ng that it is concerned with a retrospective allocation of responsibility 
 for harm in an individual case).&nbsp\; These distinctions are not\, howev
 er\, watertight\, and may be breaking down as more cases involving statist
 ical evidence come before the courts.
LOCATION:Seminar Room 1\, Newton Institute
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