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CATEGORIES:Trinity College Science Society (TCSS)
SUMMARY:TALK POSTPONED - Ineffective Responses to Unlikely
  Outbreaks: Hypothesis Building in Newly-Emerging 
 Infectious Disease Outbreaks - Dr Freya Jephcott (
 CID\, University of Cambridge)
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20201201T183000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20201201T194500
UID:TALK152041AThttp://talks.cam.ac.uk
URL:http://talks.cam.ac.uk/talk/index/152041
DESCRIPTION:We are sorry\, but we had to postpone Dr Jephcott'
 s talk. The talk will happen on 1st December from 
 18:30.\n\nThe talk will be done on Zoom\, link to 
 join:\nhttps://zoom.us/j/5670372219?pwd=UjZVeWphTl
 NEVENyOFkzNWpuc28zdz09\n\nMeeting ID: 567 037 2219
 \n\nPasscode: VbRSX2 \n\nOver the last 30 years th
 ere has been significant investment in both resear
 ch and infrastructure aimed at mitigating the thre
 at of newly-emerging infectious diseases (N-EID). 
 Core epidemiological processes\, such as outbreak 
 investigations\, however\, have received little at
 tention and as such have proceeded largely uncheck
 ed and unimproved. In this talk I will discuss pro
 cesses of hypothesis building in investigations of
  suspected N-EID outbreaks in sub-Saharan Africa. 
 Using primary material from investigations into cr
 yptic outbreaks in Ghana\, Australia\, and Ethiopi
 a\, I will trace processes of hypothesis building 
 and their relationship to the organisational struc
 tures of the response. I will demonstrate how comm
 only recurring features of N-EID investigations pr
 oduce selective pressures in hypothesis building t
 hat favour iterations of pre-existing\, ‘exciting’
  hypotheses and inhibit the pursuit of alternative
  hypotheses\, regardless of relative likelihood. M
 any of the shortcomings in hypothesis building I w
 ill discuss are evident in the initial\, flawed re
 sponse to the current COVID outbreak\, highlightin
 g the need for greater scrutiny of core epidemiolo
 gical processes.
LOCATION:Online
CONTACT:Miroslava Novoveska
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