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Real-time nowcasting and forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in England

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If you have a question about this talk, please contact Peter Watson .

Daniela De Angelis directs a Cambridge team of statisticians working on “Real time monitoring of the SARS-COV2 pandemic”, which has provided the official Public Health England real time estimates and projections of the state of the pandemic in England.

Research on developing the statistical model for the COVID-19 pandemic first began in response to the 2009 swine influenza pandemic, in collaboration with Public Health England (PHE). The aim was to develop models for estimating and predicting the spread of a potential influenza pandemic, using information from multiple data sources available from PHE.

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