Identification is easy, factorization is hard
- đ¤ Speaker: Ilya Shpitser (Johns Hopkins University)
- đ Date & Time: Friday 23 January 2026, 11:00 - 11:45
- đ Venue: Seminar Room 1, Newton Institute
Abstract
It is well known that in fully observed causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) model, all causal effects are identified via a truncated factorization of a DAG known as the g-formula. In the presence of hidden variables, the situation is significantly more complicated. Many causal effects are no longer identified, and identification of causal effects is attained by means of a recursive method known as the ID algorithm.In this talk, I demonstrate how the ID algorithm, and its extensions for mediation analysis, selection bias, data fusion, may be viewed as a truncated factorization of a model of a mixed graph. This view not only simplified the view of nonparametric identification theory in graphical models, but provides a direct connection between functionals output by the ID algorithm to plug-in and semi-parametric estimators.
Series This talk is part of the Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series series.
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Ilya Shpitser (Johns Hopkins University)
Friday 23 January 2026, 11:00-11:45