Abstract

Climate change and biodiversity loss are the defining environmental crises of our era. They are also inextricably linked. This talk will show how emerging methods in climate-impact attribution can be applied to biodiversity contexts, to understand and quantify the role of climate change in driving biodiversity loss. Drawing on recent work on heat extremes and birds, we will explore how time-series based modelling approaches can be coupled with counterfactual analysis to (i) understand the climate conditions most relevant for wildlife species, and (ii) quantify the decline of species attributable to human-driven climate change. These approaches can help shed light on effective approaches to the conservation of species and biodiversity, crucial as climate change continues to intensify.