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I did a data comparison on the world model that predicted collapse. Here’s what I found.

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In the bestselling 1972 book The Limits to Growth, the authors concluded that continuing the business-as-usual growth pursuit would lead to collapse in the 21st century, with the decline setting in about now. They based these conclusions, among other things, on the first dynamic systems model of the world. Gaya Herrington conducted an empirical data comparison on some of this model’s scenarios, including the ‘business as usual’ one. She will discuss her methods, findings, and most importantly, conclude what the 50-year old model teaches us today about a way forward.

This talk is part of the 50th Anniversaty of The Limits to Growth Seminar Series series.

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William Mong Hall, Sidney Sussex [NOTE CHANGE FROM USUAL VENUE] Mill Lane Lecture Theatre 9 History faculty, Room 5.

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