HE@Cam Seminar: Tray Brown - Building a Discrete Event Simulation to Determine the Cost-Effectiveness of Treatments for Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

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• Tray Brown -Department of Public Health and Primary care
• Monday 14 May 2018, 15:00-16:00
• Large Seminar Room, 1st Floor, Institute of Public Health, University Forvie Site, Robinson Way, Cambridge.

If you have a question about this talk, please contact David Wastlund.

Health Economics @ Cambridge are happy to present Tray Brown for a seminar on model building within Health Economics. Tray works at the Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge. The seminar will focus on the basis of Discrete Event Simulation (DES), a modelling technique that has become increasingly more used as individual patient characteristics are given a bigger place within health economic evaluation. In this Seminar, Tray will share his experience as a model developer, using examples from his model on Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

Time: 15:00-16:00 Monday 14th May 2018

Venue: Large Seminar Room, 1st Floor, Institute of Public Health, University Forvie Site, Robinson Way, Cambridge

Information about the seminar can also be found here

About the seminar:

Cohort models are still used most frequently when building decision models for cost-effectiveness analyses. These model types suffer from a number of limitations including an inability to efficiently incorporate patients’ histories and limited, if any, tracking of patients’ attributes. These make cohort models unsuited to accurately reflect the experiences of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) as the disease can manifest itself in different ways in each patient and previous events effect future event probabilities. This can be addressed by using a discrete event simulation (DES), a model type growing in acceptance in health economics. This talk will introduce the concepts of DES and illustrate the steps involved in developing one by drawing from the researcher’s experience building DES decision model for SLE .

Tray Brown:

Tray is a Research Methods Fellow working at the Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge. He is funded by the NIHR to develop a decision model for treatments for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), which will be used to predict the life-time cost-effectiveness of various novel treatments for SLE under development in Cambridge. He recently completed an MSc in Economic Evaluation in Healthcare (with distinction) at City, University of London.

All welcome. Part of the HE@Cam seminars 2017/18 series. For any questions, please contact healtheconomics@medschl.cam.ac.uk

This talk is part of the Health Economics @ Cambridge series.

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