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CATEGORIES:Isaac Newton Institute Seminar Series
SUMMARY:Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and Communication
for Chemical and Biological Hazard Response - Ronn
i Bowman (Defence Science and Technology Laborator
y\; Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Inst
itute\; University of Liverpool)
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20180111T143000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20180111T153000
UID:TALK97522AThttp://talks.cam.ac.uk
URL:http://talks.cam.ac.uk/talk/index/97522
DESCRIPTION:Effectively calculating and communicating un
certainty is crucial for effective risk management
\, but is difficult to achieve in practice. \;
This is compounded when the application area is h
ighly complex with multiple model fidelities\, and
&ldquo\;accurate&rdquo\; UQ is impossible. \;
Uncertainty communication
must be clear to experts and non-experts alike and
must account for a lack of understanding of the d
efinitions of both "risk" and "uncertainty". \
; By drawing on examples from the wide variety of
defence applications that require an understanding
and communication of uncertainty and outlining th
e reason that uncertainty calculation and communic
ation is crucial to decision making\, this talk wi
ll explore the current state of the art and outlin
e the many open challenges remaining.
The talk will then focus on a particular
challenge area and work through the complex infor
mation chain with associated timelines to provide
an insight into the response times required to sup
port real world scenarios. \;
Content includes material subject to &co
py\; Crown copyright (2017)\, Dstl. This material
is licensed under the terms of the Open Government
Licence except where otherwise stated. To view th
is licence\, visit http
a>://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/
doc/open-government-licence/version/3 o
r write to the Information Policy Team\, The Natio
nal Archives\, Kew\, London TW9 4DU\, or email:
i>psi@nationa
larchives.gsi.gov.uk
LOCATION:Seminar Room 1\, Newton Institute
CONTACT:INI IT
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